Regarding whether people with criminal records are more likely to reoffend, it is necessary to comprehensively analyze from multiple angles to avoid simplistic conclusions. Here are some key information for reference： ### 1. **The actual situation of recidivism rate** -**Statistical differences**: The data on recidivism rates in different countries and regions vary greatly. For example, data from the U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics show that about 44% of released persons are arrested again within the first year after being released from prison, and the recidivism rate within five years is about 68% (2018 data). In countries that focus on rehabilitation, such as Norway, the recidivism rate can be less than 20%. -**Impact of crime type**: The recidivism rate of violent criminals is usually lower than that of property crimes or drug offenders, the latter of which may be more related to addiction or economic stress. ### 2. **Complex causes of recidivism** -**Social exclusion**: Former students often face employment discrimination, housing difficulties, etc. These structural barriers may force them to return to their old jobs. - **Psychological and addiction problems**: Untreated drug addiction or mental health problems can significantly increase the risk of recidivism. -**Prison environment**: Some prison systems lack education/skills training, and may even strengthen criminal networks to form a "crime school" effect. ### 3. **Key factors in reducing recidivism** -**Social support**: Stable work, housing and family relationships can significantly reduce the recidivism rate. For example, the U.S. "Clean Records" project has increased the employment rate of participants by 70% by helping to eliminate criminal records. -**Judicial reform**: Harden Prison in Norway and other models that focus on skill training and humanized management have achieved a 20% recidivism rate (compared with more than 50% in the United States). -**Mental health intervention**: Targeted psychotherapy and drug dependence management can reduce recidivism by 40-60% (data from the National Institute on Drug Abuse). ### 4. **Avoid labeling cognition** Equating "in prison" with "will recidivism" may form a self-fulfilling prophecy. Studies have shown that when society gives opportunities for reform, many people will become law-abiding citizens. For example, the recidivism rate of participants in the U.S. "Re-entry to Citizenship Program" was 33% lower than that of the control group. ### 5. **Cultural differences** In East Asian societies that pay attention to a "culture of shame", ex-offenders may face more serious social exclusion, which may indirectly drive up the recidivism rate, but this is more a reflection of insufficient social support than an inevitable personal tendency. **Summary**: There is a risk of recidivism, but it is not inevitable. Through perfect social support, judicial reform and personal efforts, many former students have been able to successfully return to society. Attributing crime solely to personal qualities and ignoring structural factors may hinder more effective social solutions.