As a traditional cultural phenomenon, fortune-telling has a long history in different cultures, but whether it can accurately predict the future, the scientific community and rational thinkers generally have reservations. Here are some key points for your reference： ### 1. **Psychological perspective: Barnum Effect** The language commonly used in fortune-telling is often vague and universal (for example, "You are sometimes extroverted and sometimes introverted"), which can easily give people the illusion of "this is me". This psychological phenomenon is called the Barnum effect, and it is also the reason why horoscopes, personality tests, etc. make people feel "accurate". ### 2. **Probability and self-fulfilling prophecy** Fortune tellers may adjust their rhetoric by observing the questioner's reaction (cold reading), while listeners are prone to selectively pay attention to the "fulfilled" part and ignore inaccurate content. In addition, when people believe in a certain prediction, they may unconsciously make it come true through behavior (for example, people who are told that "peach blossom luck" are more active in socializing). ### 3. **Limitations of the scientific perspective** -**Complex causal relationships**: Future events are affected by countless variables, including personal choices, environmental changes, random factors, etc. Existing scientific methods cannot accurately quantify these associations. -**Falsifiability**: True predictions require clear conditions and verifiability, and fortune-telling often lacks a mechanism for repeatable verification. ### 4. **Cultural and psychological comfort function** Although its predictive effectiveness cannot be scientifically proven, fortune-telling has the function of psychological grooming, providing hope, or helping decision-making reference in some cultures. This spiritual need itself deserves respect, but it needs to be viewed rationally. ### Suggestion： -Maintain critical thinking about the predicted results and avoid excessive dependence. -Important decisions should be based on realistic information analysis and rational judgment. -If you seek fortune-telling due to anxiety about the future, perhaps psychological counseling is a more scientific way to deal with it. The future is inherently open and full of possibilities, and the true initiative of mankind lies precisely in shaping it through current choices, rather than passively waiting for the fulfillment of prophecies.